One issue I see with Prolexus that may hinder the upper range of the share price is the fact that there are 55mil unexercised warrants, which represent some 30% dilution to the current share base. So even if with the double plant expansion the revenue/profits rise by 30%, it will just be the "same thing". Not to mention FX is favourable to Prolexus in relation to last year...but if MYR continue strengthening then next year relative to this year will be an issue.
Since already planned for expansion and going to build a new factory in Vietnam and a fabric factory in Kluang, business should be good otherwise the management would not have the confidence in expanding, is it right?
70% of the revenues is from Nike? Is it? And who are the major clients?
Steady, the gross profit is ok, just that the taxation dealt that ate up big portion. But I'm sure next Monday will be big sell down for Prolexus as big contrast to Magni
Restated diluted EPS is at RM0.86 now vs RM2.49 YoY. That is a drastic decrease of 65%!
Alas I am still interested in the long-term plan of Prolexus. I will take RM1.45 as a buying opportunity, maybe up to RM1.48 (to give myself adequate margin of error).
It is true taxation hit the bottomline hard, but the topline as it were was also down by over 10%.
Many fund managers in this stock.....They are investing for the future..... if the business is managed properly, it can grow and perform like Magni ...since it is also contract manufacturing for Nike for a long long time ......
In Dec quarter, profit down 15% YoY and the stock opened 9 cents lower...walao eh, if on Monday can open again 9 cents lower, is BUY BUY BUY!!!
I got a feeling all the Shariah people who were holding to Prolexus waiting for a better price to sell off (those that buy above RM1.59) will have their hands forced on Monday.
So sad to say that. Luckily these few months trading volume is not high and forsee only contra player will dispose it on next week. May be 5% downward.
Many bargain hunters including fund managers will queue to buy for the future expansion plan....
The track records since 2012 is beautiful with steady growth every year and now the expansion plan..what a good growth story...
A shortfall in the top and bottom line for the weakest 3rd Quarter, accounted for only a short fall of 1.6sen eps..The full year impact is actually minimal if the future expansion plan and growth story is still intact...
Maybe an opportunity to bargain hunt for the long term growth story and contract manufacturing for world leading brands like NIKE..... :)
May not reach ! Haha! As soon as it goes below 1.40, people will sapu.... but who is willing to sell since most know the growth story and after seeing Magni's outstanding performance!
Many will hold for a 2nd Magni!
It is possible to become a 2nd Magni so long as the growth materialises!
The bottomline is the qualities of the products manufactured by Prolexus if they meet the requirements of the OEMs ? But since the co is in the business for a long long time already and also have long time relationship with the OEMs, this should not be a problem, should it?
" Meanwhile, Prolexus’ exciting double plant expansion remains on track to be completed in FY18. We anticipate its new Vietnam plant to commence operations in 1QFY18. It will initially enlarge existing output by 30%, with the potential to double existing capacity. Meanwhile, its Kluang fabric mill is scheduled to begin operations in 2QFY18. The fabric mill will enhance margins with cheaper knitted fabric input produced in-house."
PLEASE NOTE:
The Vietnam plant initially enlarge existing output by 30% with the potential to DOUBLE existing capacity...
If you noticed the buy queue, it has been very thin in the past few weeks. I hope no doubt the stock will open below RM1.50...the question is, how long will the bearishness last? When to enter? RM1.45? RM1.40? RM1.35? I say RM1.45 should be a buy, and then average down. Unlikely to fall below RM1.35 as there is very strong support there.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
PoormanTrader
82 posts
Posted by PoormanTrader > 2017-06-29 11:00 | Report Abuse
Oppa magni style now ah