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Could it be Gamuda is NOT the problem? - felicity

Tan KW
Publish date: Tue, 09 Oct 2018, 07:32 PM
Tan KW
0 500,711
Good.

Tuesday, October 9, 2018

 
When the government announced the termination of MMC-Gamuda being the contractor for the underground portion of the MRT2, it obviously came as a surprise - as it shows that this government can really terminate contracts. As an investor, it does not appear comfortable for me as where do we trust.

When one invests into Gamuda as an example, it is obvious that their contracts in hand (or book order) is one of the largest determinant towards deciding the investment. I am sure, its largest shareholder does have the similar information as we are - and we hope it is that way.

The new government, when in power promises us one thing. Go by contract and rule of law. We have yet to see that they are not going by the contract as any contract can be terminated and they have not mentioned anything with regards to compensation. Compensation, however does not console the ones whom they feel they may lose their jobs because of this.

We know for sure that it is not the incapability of the JV between MMC-Gamuda in delivering the project but for it is because of the need to reduce costs. However, I am perplexed over why then they do not negotiate until both parties come to an agreement? Usually, that is the spirit as in any negotiation especially towards company which is dependent on government projects, the one holding the trump card is the awarder.

Or could it be Gamuda has been arrogant as they feel that they are the only one who can do the job in Malaysia as it does seem that way. They have mentioned it as well in a 4-pager explanation as announced in Bursa's webpage that in the event it is opened to international companies, there is none others that have the capabilities to bid from within Malaysia - not IJM, WCT, UEM etc. It is because Gamuda and MMC only have the capabilities of such extensive tunnelling work, it seems.

Ironically, the other 50% partner being MMC announced  the below - lacking the detailed explanation, unlike Gamuda.

Gamuda it seems is the only one which is more vocal and it also seem that they are the one that is affected most. If one is to ask around, people are more confident of Gamuda's engineering capabilities when comes to this. Rarely, one would mention MMC.

There is obviously more than that, which one could not help to think of. Hence, cronyism came into mind. In my observation, Gamuda does not seem to be the one that seems to be the crony. It seems that the other company - MMC - is more of the concern here.

Why?

If Gamuda is the crony, it would not have been awarded the Penang Transport Masterplan project where it holds a 60% JV stake. That project was awarded in 2015 when the current Minister of Finance, Lim Guan Eng was the Chief Minister of Penang. In fact, until the recent change of government, the project faced great difficulties to commence - from getting approval from the federal to getting financing. Now, this announcement of termination came from the MOF although it is mentioned that being the Cabinet's decision.

Najib Razak today, pointed the top 30 shareholders of Gamuda and in the list the largest shareholders are EPF, KWAP, PNB and many other funds that invest into Malaysia. Why not? As in any companies that depend on government contracts, they need to be friendly, but we know that they need to be that. We however do not have complains of their deliveries. In my mind, Gamuda is a quality company, hence the diversified investors. In fact, this is the type of shareholder composition we want among our top listed companies - not the ones which PNB, EPF, Khazanah are the controlling shareholders - where they hold more than 30% to 40%.

MMC - It seems is the other type and Najib may have pointed onto the wrong company. We know who Syed Mokhtar is. Contracts monopolies etc. From Bernas to Pos Malaysia to Proton to port businesses. He also owns Penang Port and probably caused difficulties to some people.

Substantial shareholders of MMC Corp

To my concern however is not on Gamuda the stock, but my bigger concern is Gamuda the business and company that it has built itself to be. I have always believe that we need to build our Malaysian companies. Gamuda is one of such. It is capable of delivering what other large companies such as Hyundai, Chinese state companies can deliver - tougher projects - tunnelling. Do it in Malaysia and then overseas - compete there.

I thought the pitch that has always been provided so far is about building our Malaysian capabilities. This is why there is keenness to have our 3rd national car - I thought.

Hence, as a Malaysian, I feel that the government has to revisit the termination. Renegotiate again but try not to give this kind of projects to another Chinese or Japanese company. I know they perhaps can be capable or even cheaper but this is not what we have been voting for.
 
 

 

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5 people like this. Showing 34 of 34 comments

probability

exactly like i had mentioned earlier, agree with felicity

2018-10-09 19:48

popo92

apparently our new government doesn't have the insight and intelligent, even though they seem trying hard.

2018-10-09 19:57

Lau333

To PH government, the sanctity of contract is of little value...

2018-10-09 20:01

Lucas Chan

Absolutely

2018-10-09 20:02

ks55

Talk less.
Just tell us how much is Gamuda worth?
My TP is 1.50 by end of 2018.........

2018-10-09 20:07

godhand

Felicity sifu has very deep insight. By giving mega projects to other countries, the money is going outwards which is the stupidest idea. The whole idea about mahathir creating a third national car is to establish Malaysia as a global economy power which can compete internationally not dependent on others.

2018-10-09 20:10

Goh Kim Hock

When the PH govt relooked at the contract, I believe they found some irregularities or markup costs, hence, the reason to renegotiate and activated the clause to terminate if necessary.

2018-10-09 20:11

teareader818

Seems so obvious, mark-ups for whom? From day one PH is determined to `drain the swamp'. On a personal level, I believe you'll do the same. So it is prudent to check your portfolios for any lurking swamp creatures.

2018-10-09 21:18

ajibkor

LGE flip flop is the problem.

2018-10-09 21:21

shortinvestor77

Honouring contracts signed is upmost integrity. If not. GOD will punish thr defaulters whatmore when causing so many humans/breadwinners unemployrd.

2018-10-09 21:37

Jr Jie

good insight

2018-10-09 22:00

Hidup_Anwar

Anwar doesn't want be PM yet? How abt replace LGE as FM if wins PD?

2018-10-09 22:22

lcwin

Gamuda have to partner with a parasite MMC to get jobs and this is used to siphon overprice subcontract job for the anak anak parasites of BN. There is no way Gamuda can offer better price as all this parasites have to feed or no deal. This have been going on for a long time to enrich the parasite gravy train buta gaji way of life. So the present contract is definitely overpriced and need re tendering again with transparent cost breakdown.

2018-10-09 22:33

GreatDreamer

LGE bully stretegy will work only for weak players (eg Gerge Kent). It wont work on Country Iconic Company. Soon LGE will U-Turn again.

By continueosly dishonouring the contract signed mean investor interest are not protected. As such, foreign investors will keep leaving Msia and there is no sign of leaving will end soon. When foregin investor leaving, this make our Economy slow down. Soon Interest rate will down and also Exchange rate.

2018-10-09 22:57

apolloang

good for LGE to bully jibbie's golf buddy.....hahaha

2018-10-09 23:06

SpicyMcDeluxe

All just wayang, they just want the terms to be renegotiated

2018-10-09 23:14

mamatede

I'm voting for a cheap that also employ malaysian and have technology transfer.

2018-10-10 12:42

mamatede

Contract is only contract usually they have exit clause that are agreeable to both parties that which they signed. You dont bond for life..

2018-10-10 12:45

Buns

Yes of course got exit clause. that's why Felicity say they must pay compensation to get out of contract

2018-10-10 15:03

Junichiro

When banks retrenched their staff, there is no public outcry over the loss of jobs n it seems only ex-bankers are qualified to join the ranks of the unemployed.

2018-10-10 15:13

Junichiro

Tony Pua : "Should we instead question why MMC Gamuda had initially agreed to, but subsequently refused to share costing data with the independent consulting engineer to justify its cost, claiming “trade secrets”?

I think this reveals a lot.

2018-10-10 15:20

Jonathan Keung

tunneling half done. for another contractor the mobilisation cost ! will be far higher

2018-10-10 15:53

lextcs

if there is not such a crisis its shares will never drop to this level...Buy if we dare afterall this presents a rare moment of buying opportunity. So BUY BUY BUY

2018-10-10 16:33

ks55

By going through statement issued bu MMC-Gamuda JV, what can you make up?
Still thought they are indispensable?
Why still so arrogant?
I don't think that statement was drafted by China man.
But BOD must be responsible for the issuance of this statement.

2018-10-10 16:35

ks55

The consequences of issuing such a statement prompted Tony Pua to issue counter statement.
Final resultant is MMC-Gamuda (or Gamuda itself) will fall out of favour with MoF.
Next Gamuda need not tender for any govt related project.
They should only going to international arena, if they really think they can compete without tongkat........


Say GOOD BYE to Gamuda........................................

2018-10-10 16:39

qqq3

I support Tony Pua

2018-10-10 16:41

smalltimer

All GoM contract has IRR capping. This was not mentioned or disclosed. Why?

2018-10-10 17:07

dusti

MMC-G had it good for this contract. maybe they can do with less profit. I see a win-win situation here. So, G's share price will recover. Many commentators have taken side before they commented.

2018-10-10 17:19

Undi_PAS

Pas no need GST nor SST.

2018-10-10 17:20

TakeProfits

Agree with you ov123. All this looting and nonsense must stop. Great PH gomen. Let PH continue to stop the bleeding of rakyats funds.

2018-10-10 18:57

TakeProfits

Mmc and Gamuda won't share costings data with credible Consulting Engineers to look at project costs. Gomen has right to ask, but mmc-gamuda won't share. So mmc-g, has something to hide.
And felicity please share investing has risks. I concur with gomen moves to curd financial looting of msian rakyat funds. Hold your Gamuda shares ler..kikiki

2018-10-10 19:02

probability

Post removed.Why?

2018-10-10 22:53

paperplane

Kick mmc gamuda out,award to gamuda?

2018-10-11 08:59

godhand

already in pocket brother

2018-10-11 16:07

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