The article is describing the passenger cruise ships. Wrong channel.
Every MMC's ports are reporting great results. FY2020 PAT PTP: 228M +69% Northport: 82M + 25% Tanjung Bruas: 4.6M +22% Penang Port: 48.4M +17%
At an output of 600k plus metric tonnes per year, Malaysia ranks 6 in terms of major producer of latex. The biggest producer of latex is Thailand with close to 5M metric tonnes per year.
Malaysian glove factories use only 8% of locally sourced rubber. 92% is imported from Thailand.
There is currently a glove boom like the 1848 California gold rush. Like the gold rush, it was the merchants who made money. That's how Levi Strauss became rich and the start of the maxim, "during a gold rush, sell shovels."
What do the glove factories need? Gas : Gas Malaysia Electricity: Malakoff Container Haulage: Kontena Nasional Import of latex and export of gloves: Many ports, pick one
Go ahead and build more glove factories, import more latex and produce and ship more gloves.
該活動由馬六甲港口管理局主席拿督Koh Chin主持,丹絨布魯斯港口主任Derick Basir博士,Kumpulan Melaka Berhad首席運營官Ir Khairul Ezuan Harun,馬六甲環境司司長Rosli Haji Osman出席了活動。海關部門的穆罕默德·阿姆扎爾·阿卜杜勒·馬南(Muhammad Amzar Abdul Manan)。
During Covid-19, MMC's ports have actually seen higher volumes and improved profits as evidenced in 2020 (even 3Q20, ports saw higher YoY performance vs 3Q19)
With reopenings, global economic recovery, government stimulus, commodities bull run, supply chain reorganisation (China-US trade war etc),, shipping and international trade will go in a supercycle just as in the past after every recession
Many knew that MMC might list its huge very profitable Port Business by end of this year. But many do not know that MMC might even reward all MMC shareholders with free bonus issue of shares of its Port Business to all MMC shareholders including the major owner Syed Mokhtar.. Think further, what would be the share price of MMC then ???
The reason to the fall in share price that started back in end 2017 was mainly due to Trump's announcement of a trade war strategy to other major economies in particular China ( he also started a trade war with Europe and even US major trade partners like Mexico and Canada). The US-China trade war officially started in January 2018. This had dampen the outlook of global trade which directly affected port operators like MMC.
However with Biden, most analysts are assuming a normalised outlook for the global trades. In addition, with the normalisation of major economics like US, China and Europe, we should expect global trades to rebound back. Actually we have seen this already in 4Q20. Hence why i believe, MMC should be at least trading at pre trade war level of above RM2 per share.
DP World global container volume grows record 10.2% in Q1 Michele Labrut | Apr 26, 2021
Dubai-headquartered DP World said gross container volumes across its global portfolio increased by 10.2% in the first quarter of this year compared to the same period in 2020.
Overall the company handled 18.9m teu in what was described in a statement as a “strong start to the year”, particularly at terminals in India and Australia.
DP World’s Jebel Ali terminal handled 3.5m teu in the first three months of the year, up 2.6% year-on-year.
“We are delighted with the strong start to 2021 with our portfolio delivering 10.2% volume growth in 1Q 2021, which is once-again ahead of industry estimated growth of 8.9%. This performance is ahead of expectations and illustrates the resilience of the global container industry, and DP World's continued ability to outperform the market,” said Chairman and CEO Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem.
“Overall, the strong start to the year leaves us well placed to deliver an improved performance in 2021, and despite the more benign trading environment, we remain focused on containing costs to grow profitability, managing growth capex and continued execution of our strategy of delivering supply chain solutions to beneficial cargo owners.”
He admitted the business “performed better than expected” in 2020 despite reporting a 27% drop in profits from the previous year.
Interesting angle on trade war. However, if the trade war were to impact port operators, Westports would have been hit as well, but was not.
It's puzzling that MMC did a lot better in FY2020 compared to FY2017.
2017 Rev 4160M PBT 451.7M PAT 267.5M
2020 Rev 4489M PBT 645.5M PAT 445.7M
My inclination is to think that it was an effect of the opposite of irrational exuberance (irrational despair?) on construction stocks when the MRT3 and HSR projects were cancelled in May 2018. Look at Gamuda and YTL share prices during that period. Although MMC's businesses were diversified, the baby was thrown out with the bath water during the construction stocks selloff.
What created the perfect storm was a disposal by various funds. Between 16 Mar 2018 and 19 Mar 2021, Lembaga Tabung Haji, EPF, KWAP and AIA disposed 492.7M.
492.7M shares is a big block. If someone were to purchase that amount of shares today, it will cause limit up 4 times to RM3 and still may not be able to complete the purchase.
Enclosed below are the links to the full shareholder listings.
(As an aside, EPF has 499.5M shares in TopGlove. TG's shareholders better hope that EPF will not pull off another stunt of selloff).
Paul The Octopus
16 Mar 2018
Lembaga Tabung Haji 231,569,700 7.60 Citigroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 154,833,600 5.08 – Employees Provident Fund Board Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) 93,632,400 3.07 Citigroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 76,160,100 2.50 – Exempt AN for AIA Bhd
Page 235 of 2017 Annual Report
19 Mar 2021
Lembaga Tabung Haji 0 0% Citigroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 53,804,200 1.77 - Employees Provident Fund Board Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) 9,655,600 0.32
Citigroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 0 0% – Exempt AN for AIA Bhd
Page 313 of 2020 Annual Report
EPF's holdings of Top Glove
29 OCTOBER 2019 Citigroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn. Bhd. - Employees Provident Fund Board 166,352,722 6.5
28th Oct 2020 Employees Provident Fund Board 462,051,866 5.674
22nd April 2021 Employees Provident Fund Board 499,516,266 6.087
China’s imports and exports in the first quarter increased by 38.3% from the same period in 2020 27/04/2021
In March 2021, the Maritime Silk Road Trade Index (STI) released by the Ningbo Shipping Exchange showed that the import and export trade index was 163.83 points,up 33.70% year-on-year; the export trade index was 167.18 points,an increase of 30.24% year-on-year;the import trade index was 160.42 points,up 37.57% year-on-year.
From January to March, China total import and export trade value was US$1,302.9 billion,a year-on-year increase of 38.3%.The total export trade value was US$710.0 billion,a year-on-year increase of 48.7%;the total import trade value was US$593.0 billion,a year-on-year increase of 27.6%.
Comments: Data from the article shows Malaysia ranked 9th and China-Malaysia total import and export trade value increased 32.6% year-on-year in the Jan-Mar 2021 period
Thanks for your input. Agree that the cancellation of the major infra project was a big negative affect for MMC back in 2018. But if you look at the share price, it actually started to fall from around 2.50 level back in Aug 2017 to 1.40 just before the election. For me this fall coincide with the initial announcement of potential US China trade war in Aug 2017. Then worsen starting Jan 2018 with the first tariff impose on solar panels and washing machines product which are mainly imported from China.
Then MMC share price fell again from rm1.50 to around rm1 after the general election. Which is in line with what you had highlighted.
Anyway, both of the issues above seems to be improving (better global trade partnership and the revival of MRT3) which should be good for MMC performance and outlook in the future.
With regards to the crazy selling by some institutional investors, i think we should see their influence to the share price reduce substantially soon. The biggest issue for me was actually Urusharta which took ownership of the shares from Tabung Haji in 2018. In Mar 2019 they had 234mil share. They actually panic sell their holdings back in mar 2020 to bring down their holdings to 103mil. And continue to sell aggressively throughout 2020. The good news is that as of 19 mar 2021 they only have 15.5mil only. EPF also panic sell back in Mar 2020 bringing down their holdings from 153 mil to 53mil as of end mar 20. And since then their holdings has remain constant. As of 19 mar 2021 they still hold 54mil shares. It seems that the one that has been buying shares sold by our institution are foreign funds which is good as i think they are more value oriented.
If urusharta or any other big shareholders want to sell, i think they would have already reduce their holdings substantially given that the total transaction volume since 19 Mar 2021 (the most recent shareholder list date) to 26 Apr 2021 was around 440mil shares.
I dont think Tan Sri Syed and PNB are looking to reduce their ownership given the positive outlook lining up for the company. Both hold around 72.8% interest in MMC.
Healthy retraction. This is what i love to see, hiking up slow and steady, nothing to worry. Good fundamental and lot of good catalyst up there. Top up more today. Next QR will be the charming prince that help to wake this beautiful princess up.
I had a look at the charts for MMC, Westports, Genting and Gamuda for the Aug 2017 - Dec 2018 period and noticed more of political rather than US-China trade war effect.
Like you have said, all those is now water under the bridge. It's all clear skies going forward.
The next QR will hopefully trigger a panic buy among local funds. The increasing quarterly results ought to reduce the sum-of-parts discount and will move MMC upwards faster than the current glacial speed.
Container volume at top Chinese ports up 14.2% in early April
Container volume at eight major Chinese ports increased 14.2% year-on-year in early April, according to the statistics released by China Ports and Harbors Association.
Katherine Si | Apr 27, 2021
Export container volume increased 15.6% while the domestic volume increased 10.5% in early April. Among which, the port of Xiamen and Shenzhen posted a growth rate of over 30%.
Cargo throughput at major coastal hub ports increased 8.1% year-on-year while the international trade cargo throughput increased 2.5%.
Related: Major Chinese container ports volume up 10.8% in late March
Crude oil shipments at major coastal ports slightly increased 10.7% year-on-year. The port of Tianjin posted a growth rate of over 40%. Port inventory increased 31.1% year-on-year.
Metal ore shipments at major Chinese ports grew 8.6% while the port inventory increased 10%.
Cargo throughput at three major Yangtze river ports increased 2% year-on-year in early April while the container volume increased 23.7%.
Comments: International trade will go on a supercycle that will last for years in line with the global economic recovery. MMC's time has come and the deep value will finally be realised and unlocked in 2021
@pinky westport already overvalue, PE20, at least 4x above NTA, 6 EPS just the minimal expectation, hardly promote any rally. MMC is totally different situation, especially if MMC next EPS can be higher than 6
btw, another undervalue logistic company that can be boosted by improved EPS is SURIA. same as MMC being overlooked. while SURIA this situation is understandable for being smaller company. It is hard to believe that MMC price not yet boomed with so many obvious catalyst
U may ask me y wprts price remain unmoved despite its 36% growth? Well ,is simple... Cos its pe is ard 18 liao..6.1 x 4 = 24.4 cts, share price 4.24 which transacted into pe of 18+-,share price oledi factor in ! where as mmc s pe is only 4+.... still plenty room to go ! this stock is extremely under value !
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kevinobc
1,092 posts
Posted by kevinobc > 2021-04-26 17:00 | Report Abuse
hopeless for shipping and aviation right now due to the of covid again ! moving to tech and gloves counters...