What I think is that many new brands of milk (Goodday, Nestle etc) are encroaching on Dutch Lady's market dominance & they may actually cut their dividend back to 2010-2011 levels.
a stock like DLADY which gives RM2 div yearly is second only to godshare Nestle. DLADY's ROE 120 is also among the best in Bursa. You win by buying & holding it for years.
It took me a long time to learn but I still do make mistakes...yet that is the nature of the markets, which can wipe out hundreds of millions if the investor is not careful! DLady just touched a new 52-week low of 58.90 (10,200 shares)...
Dompeilee, i just sold it at 59.5 and 60 respectively, but rate it as lousy action as should sell it after ex-div. Please give comment more on this counter. Thanks.
FY18 core net profit of RM124.1m and full-year dividend of 200.0 sen came within our expectations. While sales may see limited momentum, the group could be poised to see some further expansion in margin on better milk powder prices. Upgrade to OUTPERFORM with a higher TP of RM67.94 (from RM64.10) as we increase valuation to 30.0x FY19E PER.
Day 14 of Fundamental Daily, YAPSS will be covering Dutch Lady Milk Industries Berhad's fundamental via a short animated video. I hope it helps and please enjoy the video, see ya! #FundamentalDaily014
Dutch lady cannot be compared to Nestle as Nestle got 2 moats which are hard to assail
1. Milo. Milo has captured 90% of the market for beverages
2. Maggie mee Every mamak or road side stall use Maggie mee for frying Also many with little time take Maggie mee for a quick bite And bad times also force many to survive on basic Maggie mee
BUT Dutch lady has no such mode. In fact when times are very bad the very poor cannot afford to buy milk
So now that Dutch lady is facing declining profit the last support of dividend is artificial
After dividend ex already Dutch lady share price might crash
Better sell off all Dutch lady shares first thing tomorrow
Sold my shares at above the current price almost exactly 5 yrs after buying them in Nov 2013, because I felt the lousy economy was going to drag milk demand down & the very strong competition from the likes of Goodday etc.
I missed out on a 90c dividend, but the reduction from 110c which I had received throughout my holding period vindicated my prediction & reason for offloading.
interesting to see how markets reacts to the reduce in dividends. would people throw and cause the share price to plummet to RM50+ levels? or would people hold on and still believe in its value?
Dutch lady have issue that is the operational cost.. I am still holding since last year Feb … from insider news this is the issue with Dutch lady.
• Lack investment on Sales and Marketing instead investing in non-core activity like IT and HR. Heard they spend a bomb on their shared service and IT which did not bring any return . All this money should spend on Sales and Marketing . • Free lunch schema to its employee …I heard like hotel buffet • Too many expat and employee with high salary to do basic work in non-core work .
One good thing I heard their new director trying hard to change but I guess so long the above is not rectified Dutch lady price will not move …. Marigold and Nestle is the current choice for me despite I own Dutch lady ….
Beware Nestle Malaysia share price over the last 8 months more flattish around RM 140/ to RM 150/. I don't think Nestle management will give bonus 0r rights issue in the near future to bring down the share price. So I shall stop buying more Nestle Malaysia shares and I will concentrate to increase my shares in Dutch Lady because I believe its price will can go up to cross the TP to RM 72.00 soon. Yr comments welcome. Investor in high price Malaysian stocks.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
dompeilee
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Posted by dompeilee > 2018-10-21 08:23 | Report Abuse
What I think is that many new brands of milk (Goodday, Nestle etc) are encroaching on Dutch Lady's market dominance & they may actually cut their dividend back to 2010-2011 levels.