i think in general,investors still worry the run up in cpo prices is just seasonal, and have not realised the fact that a structural change has taken place. Biodiesel,B30-B40, has largely increase the Indonesia consumption , this lead to larger disappearance in Indonesian oil inventary.On the demand side,the increase in consumption from china and india,caused the total demand number larger then supply number,in the equation. This can only change if Indonesia abolish the B30-40 biodiesel program.
Indonesia is pushing ahead of the biodiesel program { jokowi is trying to limit the country foreign exchange outflow} Indonesia is now a nett importer of oil { Malaysia may be in the same boat in the coming decade}
Malaysian exports in December could climb to 1.6 million tons, the stronger shipments, as well as a likely reduction in production and stockpiles, are mostly priced in, Bagani said. The market is now looking at external factors, such as strikes by workers at soybean export plants in Argentina and market optimism related to the Covid-19 vaccine, he said.
Indonesia’s move to raise its export tax on crude palm oil for January may underpin the market, Bagani said.
Malaysia’s palm oil exports jumped 17% from a month earlier to 1.34 million tons during December 1-25 , according to cargo surveyor AmSpec Agri.
Dalian exchange may kick start more Chinese interest in agri trading. A leg up for palm oil trading {CPO} interest may be diverted from our Bursa derivative FCPO market} remember Robert Kuok is now based in China
people not familiar with palm estates in general ,dont know how to make a simple projection of estate profit,let us simply the estimation , take example of SOP, roughly ,the cost of production per metric ton, 1900-2000rm,(taking from past year records).various taxes,in maximum number= 10%, equavalent ,350 rm per tonnes,the rest is profit net ,. Taking the current price in average of 3500 . we get roughly 1100 rm per tonnes profit. In SOP monthly production figures range from 45000 to 30000, let said 35000 tonnes, 35000x1100=38m. one quarter the number will be 114 millions.
sop a under valued stock, just like glove stocks, before the up surge,all calm before the storm.Flooding occures in most part of palm oil producing states like Pahang and Johore.
New UC Riverside research shows soybean oil not only leads to obesity and diabetes, but could also affect neurological conditions like autism, Alzheimer's disease, anxiety, and depression.
The researchers concluded that certain genes that were given soybean oil weren’t operating properly, identifying about 100 of them. They noticed one particular gene that produces oxytocin, also known as the “love hormone,” seemed to be impaired in mice who ate soybean oil. Their oxytocin levels were lower than normal.
When the researchers tested them with coconut oil, they found it didn’t produce as many gene changes in the hypothalamus as the soybean oil did. Considering soybean oil is a very present aspect of the American diet, the authors argue their findings could have some public health significance.
Sifu, you sure RM1.5k per mt? With windfall tax and ever increasing labor cost and materials, it could only easing closer to 2k. 1.5k , maybe that is the time when robots have taken over the Indon workers.
All commodity products related business example Palm Oil, Steel, aluminum, tin, O&G, poultry is cyclical. talking bad of gloves alike taking bad of palm oil business.
Wow! Calvin Sifu, you managed to sell Supermax at RM24.44.I did sell at around RM 20.00 and bought back recently. Now I am heavily in gloves. I have all the top 4 gloves. I will still keep Harta n Topglove post pandemic. The rest will switch to SOP.Thank you for your advice.
KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 9): Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for December rose 20.35% to 1,709,084 tonnes from 1,420,103 tonnes shipped during November, independent inspection company AmSpec Agri Malaysia said last week.
Calvintaneng - puzzled plantation stocks never play up like gloves counters { despite price was at their 7-8 years for the past 6-7 months } riding on worldwide firm demand for soft commodities esp SBO, Corn , wheat and palm oil. commodities bull still in sleeping mode
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Plantermen
2,241 posts
Posted by Plantermen > 2020-12-24 17:44 | Report Abuse
The land lease agreement between Felda and FGV is a drag on their bottom line. In addition a percentage of FGV operating profit goes back to Felda