A leading indicator ,US PPI index, is trending downward or dropped from the peak 11.3% in 12 months ago against reported 2.3% for Apr 23. It shows that CPI is under control after Fed hiking interest rates steeply. Expect Fed to announce cutting interest rate in the year end.
it is a matter of time before clmt goes to 65-70sen. investors are still stuck thinking about their 2 struggling malls sungei wang and 3 damansara and have underestimated the effect of qbm to their future earnings and dividends.
Focus will be on QBM. Can QBM offset the loss from 3 bad properties? To Penang people, it is a steal. To non-Penang people, the 3-toxic-properties is a heavy baggage to carry around.
Owning at a low price is important. My average buy price is 0.52. Last year, total dividend is 4 sen. This year, I expect around 4 sen again. 4 sen * 90% (conservatively assuming everything is taxable) ~ 3.6 sen. Yield = 3.6 sen / 52 sen ~ 6.9% which is decent and beats EPF.
It's not the best yield, not the best REIT, got some non performing properties, but the low price and the decent dividend yield makes up for it.
CapitaLand Malaysia Trust (CLMT) - A Humble Recovery of A Hidden Germ after Parkson. Currently, the price of CLMT is a mega discount. If you look at NPI projected for FY2023 and FY2024, they are prudently projected and as a Penanagite, I do not foresee any big issue with Gurney Plaza, Queensbay Mall and Valdor Logistics. I trust that the next few Quarters, under the leadership of the newly appointed CEO, a Singaporean since FY2022, CLMT will humbly recover.
You can look at the NPI of the recently announced QR, a significant increase in NPI after the investment of Valdor Logistics which resulted in 90% NPI Margin and Queensbay Mall which had already covered 90% of the existing finance cost.
Kindly refer to this analysis for further understanding
Hi all, please see LIVE update as of today morning only ------ > devotee-of-john-templeton.blogspot.com/2023/08/top-managements-responses-to-my-queries
The top management is highly responsive!
I forwarded my insights and questions to them and within 1 day, they responded me!
It is good to have timely update that CLMT has strategised itself to venture into INDUSTRIAL/LOGISTICS REITs in which the Profit Margin is as high as 90%!
For assets in Klang Valley, the newly appointed CEO will be focusing and using Differentiation Strategy for the turnaround plan!
Hopefully, the newly appointed Singaporean CEO will bring his experience and create another Vivo City in Klang Valley!
From time to time, I will be updating everyone here because I will have timely communication with the top management from time to time. I will also be communicating with an Investment Director from Temasik Group whose portfolio in in Real Estate Investment and he is in charge of Singapore REITs! From my communication with the Expert, I will be understanding better in REITs and especially CLMT which is managed and handled by Singaporeans!
Congratulations to all who has decided and joined me in CLMT when the price was as low as around 50 cents!
I don’t expect CLMT performance will be back to pre-pandemic, at least can maintain above 50cents. Many competitors(Sunshine, The Light, Mitsui & latest PICC) are coming to Penang in a few years, are they prepared to get tested for their resilient on the island?
Very obvious those who are not confident with CLMT might not be familiar with Penang Mall or might not be travelling to Penang often
I am a Penangnite. Gurney Plaza and Queensbay Mall are 2 Top Rated malls in Penang and even well known by many tourists.
CLMT has done a good job by acquiring these 2 important malls
Paragon, 1st Avenue, Straits Quay, Sunshine ----> less attractive and can't beat these 2
Those stay near Jelutong, Gelugor and Bayan Lepas, will always go to QB mall
Whereas those from Tanjung Bunga, Feringgi and town area mostly go to Gurney Plaza
Most crowded area
Do not forget Penang GDP will be driven by more Foreign Investment such as Robert Bosch huge investment in Penang will drive development of human capital, penangnite economy which will in turn help to boost up spending power of Penangnite and from macroeconomic point of field in long run, the fair value of the 2 malls will be enahanced as well when Penang is further developed
A very big thank to all fellow Syndicates or Sharks for triggering anxiety among some retail investors to sell CLMT share at lower price of RM0.525 - RM0.530 !
One of my friends who is also an Owner of a Bursa Malaysia Listed Company in Main Board went to stock market to enjoy her shopping spree for mega sales of CLMT!
Tomorrow more and more of my comrades might be queuing to wait for mega sales again! I will be queuing at RM0.520 - RM0.525!
This explains why the trading volume for CLMT was not bad at all!
For your information, VWAP for CLMT today ---> RM0.5259 !
Let's hope that tomorrow there will be mega sales again!
There will be around 8% discount if investors opt for DRIP at price of RM0.4767 per share as per the announcement!
Please take note that you will immediately earn also once you elect for DRIP!
If you compared RM0.4767 with current share price of RM0.530, for the DRIP portion, you would have already earnt RM0.0533 which is around 11.18%
devotee-of-john-templeton.blogspot.com
DISCLAIMER: This post or blog does not constitute BUY/SELL CALLS and it is just for information sharing. The author above won't be responsible for any parties relying on this information for investment decision.
No sharks nor syndicates. Just standard safety precaution before an election. Strong green wave may cause a market hiccup next week. Most likely market will rally next week unless Penang turns green.
This is a good REIT, but don't dump 几十万下去. QBM crowd not as good as before. Previously always need to park at the roof on Sat night, but now level 6 can find car parks (still have level 7 car park before the roof). Besides, the restaurants at the Queens water front also attracted some crowd from QBM. The Gurney Bay reclamation in front of Gurney Plaza is near to the end. There will more waterfront commercial F&B there. Just FYI.
Yes, Hemsley, the two most popular malls in Penang are not as crowded as before compared to pre-pandemic scenario. QBM is new to CLMT and the earnings can offset some of the bad assets in Selangor/KL. There are still quite a lot of empty lots in Gurney Plaza compared to fully booked + waiting list era. No need to worry about the waterfront thingy as Gurney Paragon (the GIANT mall that is located beside Gurney Plaza) was unable to steal much of the crowds despite their close proximity since its launch a few years back (to me mainly due to its parking setups).
Hi Brandon, in Penang, waterfront F&B is more popular. Check out Karpal Sigh drive, and recently Queens waterfront. The Light F&B waterfront will be ready in 2025. Gurney Bay F&B waterfront maybe in another 2 years.
loneranger and Hamsley, I agree with both of you. Pre-pandemic = RM1.xx, if CLMT malls can recover 50%, it should be able to reach around RM0.75. RM1.00 or more is too optimistic although not impossible as QBM was not in the inventory before pandemic hit.
As for waterfront, The Light is a no-brainer as the traffic to and fro the place is a bit too complicated. Penang bridge's jam can hurt the business as well. Gurney Bay F&B can benefit Gurney plaza as well. Those who go to waterfront for Yam Cha may park in Gurney Plaza or even shop there before or after the gathering in waterfront.
Even the Straits Quay waterfront restaurant nearby Gurney Plaza wasn't a threat to the old popular mall.
Malaysian shopping mall life-style due to the weather and low RM exchange rate attracting tourism make Malaysia's Mall investment distinguish good, I think this 2 advantages will continue for a while, no? ........hehehe.................
Reminder, On behalf of the Board of the Manager, CIMB wishes to announce that the Proposed Placement has been completed following the listing and quotation of 464,997,500 Placement Units on the Main Market of Bursa Securities today. The issuance of the Placement Units raised gross proceeds of approximately RM227.85 million based on the issue price of RM0.49 each.
With the listing of the Placement Units, the total enlarged number of issued CLMT units is 2,671,932,995.
Gurney Bay got it's own car park. The Light waterfront shopping mall will be a direct waterfront mall plus new convention center. A few fly over will be built to enter the premise, like Mid Valley. The "complicated" is not really a big issue compared to the heavy traffic at Gurney Drive. Anyway, it will get it's share from Gurney Plaza and QBM. Btw, agree with the above that the price will not likely go back to above 1.0 because of the dilution by the additional share issued. Getting above 0.60 is more realistic.
Hi Hamley, yes I've seen the new flyover. Same thing for the nearby The Light Residence, the traffic seems a bit hard to get. Slight mistake in the path will take you far away from destination. You like IJM a lot? People queued up to buy The Light Residence 10 years ago. Been to Karpal Singh drive many times before. The waterfront attracted a lots of foodies no doubt about it. The nearby 渔人码头 is a strong attraction as well although not as good as the Taiwan Taipei version. CLMT may face strong competition in Penang. Just don't put all your eggs into one basket. As for the new issue of securities, check out all other REITs. Same thing happens all the time.
I own CLMT for its high dividend yield, which beats EPF and FD. At 52 sen, the TTM yield is nearly 7%. This REIT is even better owned at lower prices. The lower the price, the more I add, until I hit maximum permissable allocation in my portfolio. I like this so much that I now feel I don't have enough at 52 sen, so, I will queue GTC at 52 sen and queue more to own at 51.5 sen, 51 sen, etc. Thank-you.
Personally, I would expect CLMT price to go up to ONE Ringgit within 12-18 months from now! The reason is due to Catalyst of CLMT - Gurney Bay (formerly known as Gurney Wharf) + Certain Unitholders' Plan of Proposing to CLMT to acquire Gurney Paragon from Hunza. You may refer to my Blog to have an overview of Gurney Bay and Proposal of Acquiring Gurney Paragon to form SYNERGY. Gurney Bay will be completed in year2025. So Personally I think that CLMT price now is super duber CHEAP. Remember, Buy or Sell at your own risk!
Wow. CLMT to acquire Gurney Paragon? But this means more PP in the pipe line? When CLMT acquired QBM, the stock price come down from 0.60 to 0.50, right?
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Goodprofit
1,022 posts
Posted by Goodprofit > 2023-05-08 22:15 | Report Abuse
QBM is better than Gurney that's for sure