Last week, there was one day when total kts traded at LME was 2,200 kts. Each kt is 5 tonnes. So total was 11,000 tonnes traded. Tin inventories at the LME have nearly halved this year to 3,670 tonnes. There is going to be a chronic shortage of tin going forward, as its not so easy to increase supply in a short period of time. I think , just like lithium prices from 2020 to 2022, which climbed 10X on soaring demand from EVs !! , tin is poised to break the all time high price of US$50,000 per tonne and go to a new high this year on multiple demand drivers ranging from new models of handphones, semiconductor chips, solar panels, electric batteries, high end automotive electronics, and 5G base stations !!
MSC Tin is ranked the # 1 hard commodity now in increasing ASP. Its price shot up a whopping 30% in this month alone. year to date it's up 32%.
MSC could enter into IM, Intermission of 3 to 6 weeks to derisk the big MAJOR A wave. Hope for the greater round 2 play n Track the trend of Tin prices here; https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/tin
Note this essay from this link above, Tin futures soared to $32,750 per tonne for the first time since June 2022, tracking the surge for other base metals amid mounting concerns about low supply. The world’s top exporter, Indonesia, triggered ripples of tight supply in the export market as licensing delays drove January’s exports to a near halt, magnified by concerns of future licensing disruptions for the rest of the year. This compounded previous production setbacks, headlined by mining disruptions in the Wa State of Myanmar amid the country’s war. China’s efforts to source tin ores from the DR Congo instead of Wa were short-lived as armed unrest in the nation also hampered its mining activity. The developments coincided with traction in demand, largely due to a rebound in Chinese and American manufacturing activities, per the latest PMIs, and bullish long-term bets for the metal due to its soldering properties used in AI materials. Consequently, tin inventories at the LME have nearly halved this year to 3,670 tonnes.
blessing shall be upon the head of him that selleth it For those who sell it at a cheap price must be generous and kind to allow another to gain such profits. AND I SHALL BUY IT
In yesterday's Star article, UOB KH has forecasted full year earnings of M$165 mil to M$183 mil. Divided by 420 mil shares outstanding that comes to M$0.39 to M$0.43 EPS. So it currently trades at a forecasted PER of just 7.46X to 6.77X !!If these earnings do materialise, the company can upsize the dividends to say 20-25 sen , making the yield highly sought after by insurance companies, retirees and pte banking clients. The silver lining could be a sizeable bonus issue like 1: 1 to improve the liquidity in the stock and allow hedge funds, mutual funds , ETF managers, Commodity Funds SWFs, etc to come in and take out the selling from the retail shareholders who might decide to dump the bonus shares. Truly exciting times are ahead. But the shares need a re-rating from research houses to enjoy a higher valuation. At the moment only, UOB KH, Malacca Sec and Kenanga cover the stock. Hopefully more will discover this dividend rich gem.
☝️ Uptrend forming after some consolidation. Looks like it’s targeting to clear the intra day high of US$36,000 and head to US$41,000 next target. ( 36k - 27k start of upmove = 9k. Add to breakout point - 32k . Draw a downtrend line from 36k high to 30k low to see where the breakout point is )
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
VincentTang
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Posted by VincentTang > 2024-04-22 09:32 | Report Abuse
MSC RM5 coming soon.