Con Call held this morning was generally positive with a stronger 2nd half ahead. Smelting ops back to normal after the rebricking exercise mid May to mid July , which shut down the furnace. Supply shortage of 3rd party ore for smelting also saw some easing. Smelting profits should rebound strongly in 2Half 2024. Tin prices sholud remain strong as demand outstrips supply globally.
Profit for 3Q2023 was only 12 mil. This is a low hanging fruit for MSC to gobble up !! 4Q2023 profit was even lower at 9 mil , so the next 6 months should see some sustained buying interest as these numbers will be easily overcome with better results hopefully at several multiples times the 3Q and 4Q 2023 numbers.
It was from mid May to I think mid July. They acquired 2 rotary furnaces to take over the smelting of intermediates when the main furnace was undergoing rebricking. The problem is that one of the 2 also broke down , hence the lower amount of smelted products. They have now acquired a 3rd Rotary furnace as a back up to the backup. Hopefully, in future the Rotary furnaces can seamlessly continue the smelting work when the main furnace is under maintenance. I think they are also trying to reduce the time taken to rebrick by sourcing for new materials. This should address the once a year rebricking issue.
Thanks greenminer. Look like the state of the art furnace not efficient. Down time 3 months, quite difficult to make good profit for smelting division.
MSC ($2.40) - Announces an interim dividend of 7 sen. Ex on 9.10.24. The interim dividend of 7.0 sen per share translates to a dividend payout of RM29.4 million. This is 84% of the company's 1st Half24 earnings !! This is really telling us something. Very very few companies would pay out almost all their earnings as dividends UNLESS they are confident that going forward the earnings are going to be strong. In a silent way, they have telegraphed that they are confident that 2H24 earnings are finally going to be significantly better that 1H24 which was only $35 mil.
Somebody has been selling it down everyday . The dividend was 7 sen but it has fallen 40 sen from ex date on 9th Oct, with 30 sen of the drop coming on the 9th itself. Not sure what the reasons are but the share price could be tracking Tin which has recently dropped from 34k to 31k . The 3Q 24 results are round the corner , probably around the 9th of Nov. 3Q 24 should be better than 3Q 23 ($9 mil) and 2Q 24 ($17 mil ).
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SuperTrump69
59 posts
Posted by SuperTrump69 > 2024-08-12 16:39 | Report Abuse
Nice monday