I have called the market operation of Bursa Malaysia, Puan Wan Ezrin, telephone number 03-20347548. It is 100% confirmed that HLI share price after ex-date will only be minused RM1.08 and not the price of Narra. You all can contact her yourself to reconfirm.
Have a good long weekend everyone. Drive safe, and see you again next Tuesday. Happy Hari Raya Haji; This is a festival to celebrate prophet Ibrahim's obedience to Allah. Same story in the Christian faith.
Do u think hlind will trade at last closing price of 13 Oct minus 1.08.on 14 Oct?????that is only reference price set by bursa due to some funny reason which is only known to them.....unless Quek decided to be an early Santa Claus in Oct.....u pray hard....-amen
Where got so many big frog jumping in the street? After the Ex-date, Narra share price will get adjust. (due to share issued increase). Market will decide both shares price. Personnelly, current HLIND price is already reflects and factor in Narra price. I bought this counter since initial announcement. For me, the current HLIND price is already buy 1 get 1 free. Durian sudah runtuh.
Whatever is it, just focus on the sum of two prices after ex. As mentioned earlier, both are at historical low level. This means need to prepare to hold long term. The low side work out as HLI's DY last year is rm 0.35. 7.5% interest return (better than FD, ASN, rental, etc... and able balance off the infration rate.) work out the price as rm 4.67. The high side work out as EPS=0.54 and PE=15, Price = rm 8.10. These will be the reference prices after ex. Narra no DY yet, need to use the PE from others similar cement plant. 90m / 480m =0.1875; PE=25 (with plant expension in progress), price = rm 4.68 Total = rm 9.35 (low side); rm 12.78 (high side) Whatever lower than is a good buy and keep.
Estimate of post distribution: HLind EPS 0.54 + Narra est EPS 0.23= 0.77. Say market rate PE @ 12; then combine value = RM 9.24. ? Question is : the estimate EPS of 0.23 is based on what issued share quantity? Anyone know?
HLIND should now going up again b4 ex or heading south further? a sharp drop of 80sen from its highest, and after ex price adjustment will make a lot of investor cry. T.T
This cunning Quek can push down Narra price 20 sens each market day. When investors got their Narra shares, it might be left with only RM1.00. As Ericoconut said "Where got so many big frogs jumping around in the street?" That is what my remiser said too.
If Narra is earning 0.23 EPS; then at modest 10xPE will be RM 2.30. Other cement company has higher PE like around 20; so take 15xPE for Narra, it should be 3.45. ....yes?
Stay with the fundamentals, you won't go wrong. Due to the bearish sentiment it will need a bit longer to realise its value though. Am still collecting.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
rc15
186 posts
Posted by rc15 > 2014-10-03 16:40 | Report Abuse
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