COMMENTARY ON PROSPECTS AND TARGETS, STRATEGIES AND RISKS APM Group is principally involved in the design, manufacturing, assembly and production of automotive and mobility components. Whilst APM Group’s main operations are located in Malaysia, the Group is also present in various other jurisdictions, including United States of America, Netherlands, Australia, Thailand, Vietnam, the Republic of Indonesia and recently, the United Kingdom. Notwithstanding the Malaysian Automotive Association’s (MAA) downward revision of its Total Industry Volume forecast for 2021 by about 5% (as announced by the MAA on 21 January 2021), the Group is positive that its prospects will improve going into Q3’21 and Q4’21 in view of inoculations efforts against the COVID-19 pandemic in Malaysia and elsewhere being ramped up recently; the implementation of economic stimuli plans, such as the PEMERKASA Plus by the government to further mitigate the impact of this pandemic; Bank Negara’s decision to maintain the benchmark Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 1.75%, which will provide additional policy stimulus to accelerate the pace of economic recovery; the potential introduction of newer vehicle models by carmakers at competitive prices to sustain buying interest; and more importantly, the anticipated resumption of operations (whether fully or partially) for those in the automotive industry whose employees have been fully vaccinated by Q3’21. There are no plans for lay-offs or plant closures going forward. However, we expect such improvements to be gradual in view of the uncertainties stemming from the escalation of major raw material prices, such as Polyurethane or PU padding chemical, plastic resins and steel as well as the rise of logistical cost, all of which are expected to dampen the recovery progress. By and large, the Group remains cautious in its approach as overall consumer sentiments are anticipated to remain weak for now due to apprehension and uncertainties in the economic environment. Consequently, the Group does not anticipate full pre-pandemic recovery to occur in the near or mid-term. The Group will nonetheless maintain its focus on long terms strategies for business sustainability and continue to strive for success expeditiously through mergers, acquisitions, strategic partnerships, joint ventures and alliances
During the period under review, the Group withdrew RM54.4 million from its’ investment in unit trust compared to the increase of RM11.1 million a year before, resulting in financing activities generating net cash of RM30.7 million to the Group. Meanwhile, as reported in the last quarter’s report, the Group successfully established a joint venture (“Joint Venture”) with Hyundai Transys Inc. for the establishment of PT APM Hyundai Transys Indonesia to manufacture and supply automobile seats and their related parts and components to its counterpart in Indonesia, namely PT Hyundai Motor Manufacturing Indonesia. The amount of RM16.3 million, being the final tranche of capital for the Joint Venture on the Group’ portion was disbursed in Q1’2021.
I love to UNLOAD when ppl chase!🤗 SOLD 1/3 of my stake remaining from 2020 @ $2.54 after 6 delicious dividends !!!☝✌🈵🔼📈 The 3rd year in a row earning from APM!!!
interested with this company after yesterday QR, but not at today's price, people overreacted or no? time will tell, but for now I will pass (still parking my offer somewhere way below anyway), while looking for another company with good QR turnover
hmm, QR good, if average with previous QR good so so, company good, price still good but it has been very good for quite a while, perhaps many still want to do profit taking
@UnicornP ya true less good QR so far, somemore a few good ones which fair value already reflected on price, or situation like this one APM open price emotionally gap up.
anyway you can check out TOMEI and PPBH among recent released QR, decent consistent EPS while price still undervalue imo
PBA yes I missed out that hmm :-( cannot chase anymore now,
UNIQUE sorry I disagree, price higher than NTA, PE above 10, not my taste
btw back to APM, still far above my offer price... but will see,
just conspiracy theory, seems like someone purposely open high so can offload midway (2.35) which is still pretty good profit consider yesterday close price and the amount offloaded
always keep in mind that QR is known by insiders before released, and there is a year long rally from 1.7 to 2.1 before this QR release
The thing about APM is we cannot see the gross profit. I want to compare with the May QR to see why almost same revenue but this quarter operating profit almost doubled.
@UnicornP PBA I will let it go for now, I should have entered at open price (RM0.84) the next day after QR released if I didn't overlooked that QR. today price hmm.. still nah for me, stingy guy I am haha
gave up waiting for more discount, just bought in a few at 2.37 today, will top up more if can get more cash from other counters, seems like profit taking is over and few willing to sell at lower price, price outburst is anytime considering prospect of this industry is good with the rise of EV in Malaysia.
EPS doesn't seems to be one hit wonder at this point. this company has good chance to perform and back to it's former glory era during 2009 to 2014, somemore this company is very generous at giving out dividend even during bad times
besides, this company is now operating at strong cash balance with net finance income, if EPS sustain for foreseeable future price can easily rise consistently back to it's former height
go see MCEHLDG result, it is good, proving that this autopart industry is indeed doing good now overally, but APM still better. Especially in term of fundamental undervalue. MCEHLDG price already traded above NTA, although EPS wise it is quite encouraging, so if you are interested with MCEHLDG, why not invest in APM instead for better opportunity (65% NTA discount!!) hehe
@GreatDreamer cannot judge it's worth base on it's current dividend yield as current dividend payout is merely 60%, plus it's EPS still has enormous room to improve base on it's previous record
make no sense that it's price still far behind MCEHLDG, as APM is bigger company, with better EPS, and more than 3x higher NTA (consist of net cash balance)
I would like to judge the company's worth and set TP base on it's next QR
@Nepo what kind of great news we expect here? I think it's great fundamental & great automobile & autoparts prospects is more than enough to justify the price movement?
but of course if there is good news like privatization offer would be better so that I can easily set TP lol
1. Good quarterly result. 2. High tangible asset per share. Properties never revalue for 30 years. 3. Record car sales. Good for components supplier and APM is the riding on this. 4. High dividend pay out. Boss is not known for self-enrichment practices like Jaks, but a generous person. 5. Potential privatise target as intrinsic valuation could be more than rm 15.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
trum
7,640 posts
Posted by trum > 2021-08-25 19:02 | Report Abuse
看起来要从这里往下走。千万不要希望这次的趋势是不同的。只要相信你所看到的。我已经学会了艰难的方法。