The small cap and 2nd liners plantation counters are making good progress in their share price increase, But the big cap or counters where Sovereign funds holding significant stakes are having poor showing ! The sector overall lackluster performance (share price wise ) is predominantly due to the dampening effect of the fund continuous sell down despite robust earnings in this sector.
Counters where sovereign funds are not shareholders: Bplant, THplant, MHC, cepat, etc
Counters with low shareholding from Sovereign funds: Taann HSplant Sop Swkpltn For Taann and SOP, I think the funds shall complete the disposal by oct/Nov. Good chance for these counters to perform soon.
Counters where Sovereign funds hold substantially: Simepltn. IOI Genp Klk
Counters without EPF and KWAP : THplant +14.5% Bplant. +4.9% Mhc. +3.8% Cepat. +1.3%
Big cap /counters with EPF/KWAP as shareholders: Simepltn - 1.4% IOI. - 0.74% Genp. - 1.83% Klk. +0.35% Taann. - 2.74% Swkpltn. Unchanged SOP. +. 0.77%
I believe EPF and /or KWAP are still selling down today . Only local retailers and some corporates are absorbing the selling and that’s not enough to move price to reflect the robust fundamental of CPO .
With Indonesia, our Main Competitor of Palm Oil out of the game due to ESG Compliance, Malaysia WILL RISE UP AS WORLD NUMBER ONE EXPORTER to feed 8 billion people across the planet..
Brent crude oil was trading at US$86 (about RM357.59) per barrel, while crude palm oil closed at an all-time high on Wednesday with the benchmark palm oil contract for January 2022 rising by RM127 to RM5,071 a tonne.
With Indonesia, our Main Competitor of Palm Oil out of the game due to ESG Compliance, Malaysia WILL RISE UP AS WORLD NUMBER ONE EXPORTER to feed 8 billion people across the planet..
The Indian are already preparing for the coming Diwali…
Totally agreed with Mabel. High Mineral 0il prices { US 85 + }, Elevated CPO prices { MYR 5,000 +per tonne } & Indonesia restrictions on CPO export . But our plantation stocks still in sleep mode
Do you know that Billions of shares of stock are bought and sold each day, and it's this buying and selling that sets stock prices. Stock prices go up and down when someone agrees to buy shares at a higher or lower price than the previous transaction. In the short term, this dynamic is dictated by supply and demand.
Ultimately, demand for a stock is driven by how confident investors are about that stock's prospects. In the short term, things like quarterly earnings reports that beat expectations, analyst upgrades, and other positive business developments can lead investors to be willing to pay a higher price to acquire shares. On the flip side, disappointing earnings reports, analyst downgrades, and negative business developments can cause investors to lose interest, thus reducing demand and forcing sellers to accept lower prices.
In the long term, the value of a stock is ultimately tied to the profits generated by the underlying company. Investors who believe a company will be able to grow its earnings in the long run, or who believe a stock is undervalued, may be willing to pay a higher price for the stock today regardless of short-term developments. This creates a pool of demand undeterred by day-to-day news, which can push the stock price higher or prevent big declines.
Sometimes demand for stocks in general increases, or demand for stocks in a particular stock market sector increases. A broad-based demand increase can drive individual stocks higher without any company-specific news. One example: The COVID-19 pandemic led to consumers increasing spending online at the expense of brick-and-mortar stores. Some investors believe this change is here to stay, which led to an increase in demand and higher prices for e-commerce stocks across the board. Likewise with O&G and Plantation. Brent crude oil was trading at US$86 (about RM357.59) per barrel, while crude palm oil closed at an all-time high on Wednesday with the benchmark palm oil contract for January 2022 rising by RM127 to RM5,071 a tonne.
The big picture is what matters
Long-term investors, don't much care about the short-term developments that push stock prices up and down each trading day. When you have many years or even decades to let your money grow, things such as analyst upgrades and earnings beats are irrelevant. What matters is where a company will be five, 10, or 20 years from now.
While a lot of ink is spilled about daily fluctuations in stock prices, and while many people try to profit from those short-term moves, long-term investors should be laser-focused on a company's potential to increase its profits over many years. Ultimately, it's rising profits that push stock prices higher.
So focus on the end game and ignore the noises. Elsewhere in the Deep Blue Ocean, all Energy Battleships and Supertankers plus Jet Fighters are cruising full speed.
The same with the Thick Green Jungle, all Plantation are Flourishing and Booming. Yesterday, one of Mabel Plantation gave Terengganu State Heritage Trust Board (LTAWNT) RM1.87 million its share of profit from the plantation and healthcare group. The payment was for last year's profit for the development of LTAWNT’s 1,336-hectare oil palm plantation by TDM at its Air Putih Estate in Kemaman. Earlier this week they launched the 6th Medical Centre. This will be complementary to the existing Medical Centre provided by Mabel Sunway and Sime Darby.
To SIR with Love..
Meow
Stock: [SERBADK]: SERBA DINAMIK HOLDINGS BHD
Oct 28, 2021 8:03 AM | Report Abuse
Ownership Breakdown
State or Government 4.4%, 147,000,000 shares General Public 4.8%, 162,240,114 shares Institutions 25.8%, 871,390,934 shares Individual Insiders 65.0%, 2,192,163,030 shares
To be honest, what we discuss here does not make any difference..
All of us only hold 4.8% of Serba. Usually the silence the majority are the main holders.
IBs and many pessimist are relentlessly worried that CPO price will fall since the day CPO reached $3,000/- in 2020. CPO reached $5,350 now! Should investors be too concerned if CPO price correct down from today's level ? I would like to share the year's high (H) , low (L) and the simple average (Avg) from year 2008 to 2021as below : 2008. $4179 (H) , $1403 (L) , $2791 (Avg) 2009. 2887,. 1630. 2259 2010. 3782. 2386. 3084 2011. 3930. 2786. 3358 2012. 3567. 2027. 2797 2013. 2635. 2157. 2396 2014. 2917. 1933. 2425 2015. 2360. 1802. 2081
2021's H is 29% higher than the highest H (2008) 2021's H is 66% higher than the avg H 2008-2019 2021's L. Is 147% higher than the lowest L (2008) 2021's L is 72% higher than the avg L 2008-2019 2021's Avg is 68% higher than the Avg 2008-2019.
Despite the above , all plantantion counters stock prices are 20-50% below the highs achieved in 2008 -2020 period . Mind boggling indeed.
So, why should there be worries if CPO price indeed correct for 10-20% next year ?? 02/11/2021 9:54 AM
8 billion people across the Globe have benefitted from our Investments.
Mabel oil purchases by India, the biggest importer, climb from a three-month low as the Diwali festival of lights drives up demand for the world’s most-consumed vegetable oil.
Today Mabel will be join them to celebrate Diwali to enjoy this positive light of joy..
Shah Rukh Khan, Salman Khan, Ameer Khan sent their regards to all of you here...
They said Chappati, Tosei, Briyani does not taste the same without our Mabel Palm Oil.
Happy Diwali Everyone
Priyanka and Hithrik sent their regards to all Malaysian Farmers..
CPO prices expected to be lower in 2022, say market analysts (The Star - Saturday, 16 Oct 2021)
UOB Kay Hian Research maintains its “underweight” rating on the plantation sector
The research unit is keeping its CPO price forecast for 2021 and 2022 at RM3,300 and RM2,800 per tonne respectively
CPO prices may sustain at the current levels due to the continued disappointing palm oil production as yield recovery from the previous drought is taking longer than expected
It also notes that risks include rising fertiliser costs due to supply constraints. As fertiliser cost (30% of ex-mill cost) is one of the biggest components besides labour cost, the surge in fertiliser prices could lead to a cost increase of at least 15% to 20%
RHB Research also maintains its “underweight” rating on the plantation sector
It advises investors to ride the wave and look for opportunities to sell into strength, with CPO prices currently at a peak, and some strength being seen in share prices.
“The main risk to this thesis is weather abnormalitie. Share prices have, for the first time this year, started moving in tandem with CPO prices. We believe now is the time to ride the wave, and wait for a good opportunity to lock in some profits, adding that environmental, social, and governance (ESG) concerns will still impact sector valuations”
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
calvintaneng
56,622 posts
Posted by calvintaneng > 2021-10-11 08:18 | Report Abuse
Very happy future awaits all
One day SOP will rise up to be a palm oil blue chip!