The oil price will not actually affect drilling activities immediately, because it is a long term investment before you can produce, when it was 80usd the industry already predict it is not sustainable, and 50-60usd is good enough.
for next qtr & be patience., company expects a higher utilisation of both jack-up drilling rigs and hydraulic workover rigs in the second half of 2018 from the secured projects. if still not improve just say good bye
If we look into their financial statements, they have narrowed down their net loss comparing to previous year. 9 months cumulative period for Sept 2018 is also showed a narrower loss compared with 9 months cumulative period for Sept 2017. Cash flow wise, they have shown operating profits against operating losses in previous year. Much of the free cash flow was used to repay bank borrowings which should be an obligation to reduce debt. If Velesto can win more contracts to utilize more of their rigs, it will be better. I believe next quarter should be better as earnings from Naga 4 should be reflected then. My 2 sen thoughts.
The company 3Q18 result was really dissapointing given that most investors were hoping for a small profit as a signal for the company's turnaround back to profitability. Instead the company posted a loss of rm24.8mil eventhough utilisation rates were higher at 75%. Given the depressing charter rates, the company might only be able to record a small profit (relative to its market cap) even at a utilisation rate that nears the 90% level.
I think investors might be better off investing in other profitable businesses. I think in 2019 the company would still be in the red but hopefully at a lower loss level. If you are still interested in the O&G industry, it is better to invest directly in the oil field owners ( to take advantages of any increase of oil price) or to focus on Malaysian downstream related business ( to take advantage of Petronas focus spending in the downstream industry). Upstream focused companies outlook in the near future does not seem too bright. Given the volatility of the oil price and Malaysian government needs for higher dividend from Petronas, it might be a while before we can see the revival of the upstream service industry.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.0x PE (based on target FY18 PATAMI of RM145mil. 9m PATAMI is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.6x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17. And FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of new Myvi and the launch of the new SUV in 1Q19.
Current Market Capital of Velesto energy is RM 1.6 bil Last yr May, it raised RM 1.8 bil cash from right issue... Velesto is a value play with current low price... The current market capital is lower than cash it received last yr from right issue share.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SuperPanda
11,431 posts
Posted by SuperPanda > 2018-11-21 10:12 | Report Abuse
when counter is dying, im buying. lock some at 26.5. bet on better earnings in coming rpt.