every quarter report of each company also said mgmt expects to continue grow..but they always cant deliver...prlexus is in the stage of flat growing already in last 2 years if you check their revenue.. now still not see any uptrend..still in flat/downtrend...jst wait
negative sentiments (while the stock's fundamentals remain intact) give you a great chance to buy at attractive price. as i had mentioned earlier, based on EV/EBIT = 10 ratio, this share is worth around RM2.52. If you are to give some discount to the EV multiple, it is still worth at least >RM2.00.
hi Jon Choivo, Prlexus did not specifically mention why the revenue dropped in last Q. they just mentioned:
The decrease in revenue is attributable to lower revenue from apparel division
But in their latest annual report, they mentioned this (under chairman's statement):
PROSPECTS We are excited about the Group’s growth prospects as we expect our core business to grow and we look forward to pursue business opportunities in the interest of long-term growth and value creation. As part of our commitment to our customers, we will continue to deliver the highest standards for our products and services which is a key element of our success.
the management is expecting and working towards to expand more...
and they have proven record for at least the past 5 years that they are growing revenue and net profit. So my view is we should not only look at a single quarterly result to conclude that they are going down.. that is premature...
Prlexus has excellent fundamentals in terms of magic formula (EV/EBIT & ROIC)... they are also in net cash position now (after the Right Issues)... they also have free cash flow... just that dividend yield is not so attractive...
but overall, it is scoring around 9/10 to me...
so i am in.... aim for longer term investment.. that is value investing.. cheers...
now it gives us a much better opportunity to collect at lower price, why not???
Chairman statement in annual report most of the time optimistic ones...using words like "expected", projected, believed, confident........blah blah blah...and if things did not turn out as expected, always tons of excuses like ...due to unforeseen circumstances,,,or can blame on global economy lah..Trump policy lah...blah blahb lah
but shouldn't we also look at their past record? check out at least their past 5 years of revenue & profit... what is the CAGR?
what i wanted to say is... we should not only look at a single quarterly result to conclude if this company is performing or not performing... I believe the recent drop was partially due to the uncertainty of Trump's policy for exported goods to the US...
anyway, if u r a real value investor, u have to examine the SWOT of this company...
many others have mentioned earlier that it is highly unlikely that US will stop outsourcing the apparel business to countries that are more competitive in labor cost as if they do this, their overall cost (if using US labor) and final selling price will increase a lot.. thus causing the sales to drop...
if u were Trump, will you declare such war? this is a lose-lose game... if you impose huge duty/levy on imported goods like this (which is consumer products), other countries will retaliate and do the same on the US... Trump is s shrewd businessman and i dun think he will be that stupid to do so...
To me, it is oversold by speculators due to their fear of uncertainty... but as a value investor, i am buying it more...
One of the reason for the drop is due to the drop in NP and Revenue of one of the client Under Armour. But PRLEXUS still have Nike as their major client. So the coming QR we will see whether PRLEXUS able to pass on the reduced order from UA into Nike's increasing order.
Magni and Prlexus supposed to be equally valued. Since they have the same major client, Nike. Prlexus have another additional client, Under Armour.
But one thing, i am a bit concern on the management's transparency, they did not report in particular why would there be a drop in revenue and net profit in the previous quarter and what had the management done to rectify the issue. They just simply repeating the facts, which is drop in revenue & NP is due to drop in revenue from apparel division, in which a 3 years old child can know that.
There are news going around regarding reducing revenue and profits growth of UA causing their share price to dive down.
As Magni register a increasing revenue and NP yoy (Nike), Prlexus register a decreasing revenue & NP yoy (Nike & UA).
So the reducing order would be most probably from UA.
But Prlexus management should at least hint what is causing the reduced revenue, eg write due to reduced order from a major client and what shall the management do about it, so as investors we are well informed on the situation.
In mid to long term, Prlexus prospect should be very bright due to the increasing capacity from Kluang and Vietnam factory, which expected to commence operations by around Jun 2017. Revenue increase is just a matter of time.
Trump effect shall be absence as its still not feasible to move labour intensive industries like apparel back to US. Some old news, even Ivanka Trumps' products are manufactured in China & now Africa.
The new China factory expansion was completed recently, the new Vietnam factory should be completed in Q3 this year, and the Kluang factory by end of this year, all these should contribute very positively towards this coming year's revenues and profits. Revenues and profit should get a big boost in 2H-2017 as mentioned by Dolly Chai...
The weakening RM versus USD and Euro continues with trend reversal very unlikely in the near future, this will also add more gains to Prolexus' profit margins...
Guys, prlexus should have excellent QR on the coming announcement. Nike has significant growth on Q2 2017 (upto Nov2016). Beside, the sale on Nov 11 (双十一)has 3x sale volume in a single days as compared to previous year.
President Donald Trump promised to create jobs by following "Buy American first and hire American” policy, but more than 53.5 metric tons of Ivanka Trump-branded shoes, bags, and clothes were sailing to American ports in eight shipments even as he spoke...
The million dollar question is: Can the Shoes, Garments, Leather goods, etc. be manufactured competitively in US? Even with Border Adjustment Tax, it's still very unlikely to be competitive...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
red_85
1,259 posts
Posted by red_85 > 2017-01-24 17:05 | Report Abuse
every quarter report of each company also said mgmt expects to continue grow..but they always cant deliver...prlexus is in the stage of flat growing already in last 2 years if you check their revenue.. now still not see any uptrend..still in flat/downtrend...jst wait